Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.357208 0.465795 0.584148 0.720884 0.872844 1.035095 1.220059
2025-08-24 0.173142 0.303109 0.463851 0.667362 0.910139 1.184047 1.510675
2025-08-31 0.096394 0.226285 0.405783 0.648858 0.952496 1.306443 1.739140
2025-09-07 0.055085 0.181295 0.376360 0.656319 1.018929 1.451951 1.990706
2025-09-14 0.026432 0.140577 0.342315 0.649534 1.061203 1.563498 2.197959
2025-09-21 0.008558 0.103978 0.305127 0.631813 1.084651 1.648574 2.370846
2025-09-28 0.003654 0.094535 0.309484 0.671169 1.181333 1.823112 2.650659
2025-10-05 0.001373 0.089890 0.320828 0.719992 1.290201 2.012705 2.948765
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.082253 0.324698 0.756552 1.381967 2.180505 3.220226
2025-10-19 NaN 0.082295 0.343245 0.815512 1.504276 2.387105 3.539443
2025-10-26 NaN 0.078209 0.352310 0.859234 1.605472 2.566842 3.825784
2025-11-02 NaN 0.065487 0.340204 0.868081 1.657612 2.683437 4.034041
2025-11-09 NaN 0.040288 0.292408 0.817846 1.628748 2.699585 4.123771
2025-11-16 NaN 0.020298 0.244016 0.760692 1.586887 2.697275 4.189921
2025-11-23 NaN 0.011116 0.219295 0.740828 1.596138 2.759563 4.334728
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007078 0.210427 0.748835 1.645985 2.875350 4.547001
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003170 0.194576 0.741558 1.671819 2.958399 4.717254
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000587 0.174157 0.722548 1.678355 3.014587 4.852606
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000529 0.183344 0.764745 1.779623 3.199367 5.152983
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000696 0.197237 0.816987 1.896672 3.405791 5.481386
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000560 0.204871 0.856035 1.993254 3.584488 5.774345
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000983 0.223722 0.918891 2.127057 3.813998 6.132790
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001007 0.234819 0.965415 2.235508 4.009133 6.447245